Pakistan’s Rs10 Billion Chip Ambition Clashes with IMF Mandate

The Ministry of Information Technology and Telecommunication has lingered on the โSemiconductor Policy and Action Planโ which envisaged grants and subsidies to the semiconductor industry including extending special technology zone (STZ) incentives, exemption of import duties on equipment, soft loans at 25 percent rebated interest rates as well as providing 25 percent tax rebates.
The draft policy was prepared in violation of the International Monetary Fundโs (IMF) ongoing Extended Fund Facility (EFF) program, as it barred all such incentives. The ministry had also proposed to establish a national semiconductor fund of Rs10 billion to provide soft loans, grants, startup support, incentives to retain local talent, and attract major international firms and the foreign diaspora for the next decade.
The worldwide semiconductor market has surpassed $600 billion in 2023 and is poised to cross $1 trillion by 2030, of which, 70 percent is driven by rapid growth in computing and data storage, automotive electronics, wireless connectivity, and power management. The draft policy noted that given the dependence of the national economy and security on semiconductors, it has become imperative to formulate the Pakistan Semiconductor Policy.
The draft policy envisaged transforming Pakistan into a major hub of semiconductor design, manufacturing Assembly, Test, and Packaging (ATP), and achieving Indigenous design, testing/packaging, and fabrication capability for critical semiconductor integrated circuits (ICs) by 2047.
The five main elements of the strategy will be utilized to establish a semiconductor ecosystem in Pakistan. These elements include; policy support and incentives, infrastructure development, human resource development, industry ecosystem building and collaborations, research and development (R&D), and innovation.
The three major components of semiconductor devices include design, fabrication, and ATP. While the fabrication of ICs gets the most attention, it is not a starting point for developing countries owing to its extremely high CAPEX & OPEX. Design element, on the other hand, involves the least cost, and yields a high return on investment (ROI) but requires highly skilled human resources. Hence developing nations invariably target design segment first before proceeding to ATP and fabrication elements, the ministry added.
Pakistan has not been able to secure its rightful place in any of the three segments and still relies on imported chips for all of its domestic markets. With the adoption of the Digital Pakistan policy, there is an increasing need to develop an independent semiconductor policy framework for achieving some degree of sovereignty in this critical domain.
Semiconductor supply chain disruptions during COVID-19 pandemic and ongoing tech wars have forced the rebalancing of the global semiconductor market structure. This coupled with transformative technologies like AI and electric vehicles (EVs) has created an opportunity for many nations to provide skilled workforce and become alternate destinations for semiconductor supply chain relocations.
The draft policy noted that the last five years have witnessed major disruption in the semiconductor value chain due to the US-China trade war, famously known as the โChip Warsโ. It has not only exposed the Worldโs dependence on the USA for advanced technologies and on Taiwan for chip manufacturing but has also triggered a chain reaction in many countries to attain self-reliance in this critical technology.
To counter the potential restrictions and export controls, governments have introduced new strategies and increased investments to grow and strengthen semiconductor capabilities, with an eye toward safeguarding their interests.
China is aiming for 70 percent self-reliance by 2025 by pumping in $155 billion in the semiconductor industry, South Korea committing $450 billion for chip foundries and the USA is re-focusing on chip manufacturing by investing more than $52 billion. The EU has committed more than โฌ11 billion and India announced a $10 billion package to focus on the local semiconductor ecosystem. Saudi Arabia announced the formation of a Public Investment Fund (PIF) backed company Alat announcing $100 billion in investments until 2030, semiconductors being one of its main thrust areas.
The semiconductor market can be divided into three segments, (i) chip design, (ii) fabrication, and (iii) ATP.
The electronic design automation (EDA) tools and chip design market is mostly dominated by the USA whereas Taiwan is leading the chip fabrication segment.
In ATP (also known as OSAT), the major market share is held by China. Different segments of the semiconductor industry have varying requirements for investment, HR, and ROI. The fabrication and ATP do not guarantee an immediate profit or self-sustenance, the policy noted.
The Ministry of IT and Telecom (MoIT) claimed that this policy document was formulated based on multi-stakeholder consultations and took a holistic approach to cover all segments of the semiconductor market.
This policy will also serve as the foundation for the creation of a sustainable semiconductor ecosystem that builds on the potential of a large youth bulge and serves the needs of both local as well as international markets. It also affords an opportunity for semiconductor startups and entrepreneurs to employ a skilled workforce to expand their businesses and become internationally competitive. It is envisaged that the policy will provide a much needed boost to Pakistanโs economy, national security, and critical infrastructure, and ensure global competitiveness, the ministry added.
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